My Oscar Picks

Last year I ran an Oscar contest, but I just didn’t have time to get it sorted this spring. Maybe in 2006. In the meantime, here are my picks for who will win and who should win the Oscars in eleven categories.

I got the text for the first six categories and some insight into the favourites from these odds. Generally, I’m predicting a near-sweep for The Aviator. My picks are after the jump.

Best Picture

The Aviator – Will win, should win
Million Dollar Baby
Finding Neverland

Best Director

Clint Eastwood (Million Dollar Baby)
Martin Scorsese (The Aviator) – Will win, should win
Taylor Hackford (Ray)
Alexander Payne (Sideways)
Mike Leigh (Vera Drake)

Best Actor

Jamie Foxx (Ray) – Will win
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Aviator)
Clint Eastwood (Million Dollar Baby)
Don Cheadle (Hotel Rwanda) – Should win (not to mention Paul Giamatti, who was
Johnny Depp (Finding Neverland)

Best Actress

Hilary Swank (Million Dollar Baby) – Will win, should win
Annette Bening (Being Julia)
Imelda Staunton (Vera Drake)
Kate Winslet (Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind)
Catalina Sandino Moerno (Maria Full of Grace)

Best Supporting Actor

Morgan Freeman (Million Dollar Baby) – Will win
Thomas Haden Church (Sideways)
Clive Owen (Closer) – Should win
Alan Alda (The Aviator)
Jamie Foxx (Collateral)

Best Supporting Actress

Cate Blanchett (The Aviator) – Will win
Virginia Madsen (Sideways) – Should win
Natalie Portman (Closer)
Sophie Okonedo (Hotel Rwanda) – Should probably win too
Laura Linney (Kinsey)

Best Art Direction

The Aviator – Will win
Finding Neverland
A Very Long Engagement – Should win
Lemony Snicket’s
The Phantom of the Opera


The Aviator – Will win, should win
The Phantom of the Opera
A Very Long Engagement
House of Flying Daggers
Passion of the Christ

Film Editing

The Aviator – Will win, should win
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Before Sunset
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
The Motorcycle Diaries
Sideways – Will win, should win

Best Writing (Original Screenplay)

The Aviator – Will win
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind – Should win
Hotel Rwanda
The Incredibles
Vera Drake


  1. I’ve made my predictions too, and they’re identical in all but two categories. I think cinematography will go to Million Dollar Baby, and Clint Eastwood will win best director; though I think Scorsese should.

  2. I have no problems with your Oscar predictions, except I haven’t seen Million Dollar Baby yet.

    I was looking forward to your Oscar contest.
    Perhaps next year.

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